Wednesday, 8 March 2017

Averting Drought in Somalia: The Missing Factor

        A man looks at the carcasses of animals that died due to the drought. REUTERS/ Faisal Omar, 2016


As a severe drought deepens in Somalia, the risk of famine is looming in the war raged country, with about half the population in need of some form of assistance, according to an assessment by United Nations agencies and humanitarian partners, (UNSOM, 2017). This is not first time Somalia to deal with drought and possibly, if not urgently tackled the consequences will be as the same as the famine in 2011 of human catastrophe where many poor people lost their lives. So if history repeated itself, the many presidents (Federal regional level) have to take responsibilities and at the meant time they should bow their heads with shame.

Of course, there are many factors that contributed this famine to arise, to mention few, most part of the country has not seen the seasonal rain for few years, war and conflict are still pushing press for the disaster, much lessons was not learned from the famine of 2011, so no mechanism was putted in place in order to tackle future droughts and above all, even if there is collective response, locally and internationally, it will be very difficult to reach the suffering people because of lack of proper infrastructure and badly affected areas are not in the hands of the regional states.

All of the above mentioned factors do contribute the disaster but on the other hand, there is critical factor that some scholars argue that the reality is famines are not caused by lack of food and climate change, but rather by perverse economic policies, bad governance and war. They critically analysed and based their arguments so far there is no famine disaster that recorded in where there is an effective democratic government. Most of the disasters are recorded only in some African countries that raged war and there is no effectively governance system.

As Agbor and Moyo (2011) argued, no functioning multiparty democracy can experience famine because democratic institutions—regular free and fair elections, independent courts and legislatures, free press and vibrant civil society—are all effective mechanisms of upholding the basic rights of citizens, including the right to food (“Development as Freedom,” 1999:178). Democracy also offers vulnerable citizens the opportunity to vote out incompetent governments that fail to deliver improved well-being to their constituents. Indeed, as de Waal in “Democratic Political Process and the Fight against Famine” (2000:12) asserts, ‘fully functioning democracies do provide protections against famine, but weak democracies might not’.

Evidence suggests most of the famines recently witnessed in Africa have been largely due to institutional failures resulting from the lack of broad-based accountable governance and much less to market or production failures.  (Agbor and Moyo, 2011). This governance deficiency often manifests itself through imperfect institutions, which either fail to reallocate production surplus away from food-surplus areas to food-deficit ones within the same country, or are incapable of effectively providing food price support to vulnerable citizens.

Although the decline in food availability is almost inevitably witnessed immediately before all major famines, it has not been the main precursor. If met with timely and effective responses, declining food availability can be prevented from degenerating into a famine. Usually, effective anti-corruption mechanisms and efficient public interventions in agricultural support systems and extension services, effectively address food availability declines in the build-up to a famine.

To conclude, while a range of factors, arguably exogenous to government control—such as climate change and international donor response—are crucial in the famine prevention strategy, emphasis must be placed on accountable democratic governance as an effective mechanism for averting famines in Somalia. An anti-famine political contract between citizens and the state, which democracy promotes, can be effective at addressing declining livestock/grain terms of trade shocks that frequently challenge poor households.


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